Internal prediction markets

What decision do you have to make?

Decision Success metric How much is this decision worth to you?

Options and dates

Options Decide by Know by

Draft first. Account later.

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Try:

Markets to test it

Markets to test: expanding into rural markets, urban markets, or both?

KPI: Revenue from new markets

Market 1

If we expand into rural markets only, what will revenue be?

Numeric forecast. Resolves on reported revenue from new rural markets.

Market 2

If we expand into urban markets only, what will revenue be?

Numeric forecast. Resolves on reported revenue from new urban markets.

Market 3

If we split investment evenly, what will combined revenue be?

Numeric forecast. Resolves on combined revenue from both market types.

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